Two planets in the solar systems are talking with each other. One planet, Mother Earth, says: 'I'm so itchy - what can I do?'. And the other planet says, 'Don't worry, it's just homo sapiens - it will soon drop off.'
Tuesday, 26 May 2009
Itchy Mother Earth
Two planets in the solar systems are talking with each other. One planet, Mother Earth, says: 'I'm so itchy - what can I do?'. And the other planet says, 'Don't worry, it's just homo sapiens - it will soon drop off.'
A Hot Air Balloon Paradox
Some financial suggestions were put forward by Abyd Karmali, Global Head of Carbon Markets at Bank of America/Merrill Lynch. He mentioned Derivatives, Futures, and Options - and excused himself at the same time. You see, since the onset of the financial crisis these three little words have had a sad connotation. In particular, it is worthwhile to recall the big save of exactly Merrill Lynch by Bank of America's take-over in 2008 - precisely due to the heavy use of the derivatives/credit default swaps, which are basically loan insurances. Bank of America had too high a risk exposure with its investments in Merryll Lynch - and actually had to buy the whole hot air balloon in order not to fall themselves. The credit default swaps/loan insurances exposure, in the case of Bank of America, were close to 40 times above its net worth/equity. This according to the weekly letter of Ugebrevet Mandag Morgen in september 2008 - the very initiator and organizer of this climate summit.
So here comes the paradox: Is it really a good idea to save one hot air balloon (the global warming of Mother Earth) - financing it through another kind of hot air balloon (futures and derivatives)? Abyd Karmali tried to answer that himself: 'We have to ensure a healthy market'. If Merryll Lynch is included in this 'we' is my big worry. And in the response to the same critical question Tracy Wolstencroft, Managing Director at Goldman Sachs, made a point: 'In the US it should be financed through bonds'. Probably in line with the new policies put forward by the current government under Obama. To stop the hot air balloons - financial or climate ones.
José Manuel Barroso in Town
Yesterday José Manuel Barroso, President of The European Commission, was in town. He saw Denmark as a good place to choose for the World Business Summit on Climate Change, because as he stated 'We have two very important things on our side - public opinion and science'. During the summit he came to speak about the European joint efforts towards 2020. And stressed three points:
- The EU wants to ensure a comparable CO2 emission reduction, currently set at a 20 percent reduction (according to the 20/20/20 vision), but the EU is willing to set a 30 percent reduction goal - provided that a global deal can be sealed.
- Developing countries should do their major part in designing and implementing national low-carbon techniques and economy - and in the EU these vary from 15-30 percent below business as usual by 2020.
- The EU will rely on both public and private funding. And carbon markets should be the resource. I.e. through the ETS/Emission Trading System and CDM/Clean Development Mechanism - an initiated 'additional' carbon project that would not have been realized if not for this purpose alone.
To make a note: The variations beween the European countries are great. On the green house gas emission reduction goals towards 2020, they vary between -20 and +20 percent, compared to 2005. And on the renewable energy goal as a percentage of the total energy mix, they vary between 10 and 49 percent (Sweden is the top scorer here).
Climate - A Political Headache
With this metaphor Connie Hedegaard, Minister of Climate and Energy in Denmark, opened the interactive debate on climate change between political leaders. She called for initiative and an ambitious financing plan to overcome the negative effects of climate change.
And they were all waiting for somebody else to make the move. To mention the views of some of the political leaders in the panel: Jim Prentice, Minister of the Environment in Canada, was waiting for the USA - not only to sign the deal on climate change, thus living up to the Kyoto protocol standards - but also to ratify the deal.
Xie Zhenhua, Vice Chairman, National Development and Reform Commission in China, mentioned that China is doing what it can to meet the standards. With a percentage of 7,5 renewable energy in 2005 to a projected 15 percent in 2020 - i.e. solar power, water, and wind energy (The EU goal is an overall 20 percent on renewable energy of the total energy mix, with variations from 15 upto 49 percent - to make a comparison). He saw the main challenges as being setting standards and mechanisms, ensuring innovation and transfer of energy, and creating financial instruments to back the initiatives.
Erik Solheim, Minister of the Environment and International Development in Norway, called for governments to instigate and initiate efforts to combat climate change. And encouraged governments and private companies to co-operate in partnerships. He revealed that his concern and main headache had to do with too little confidence between the developed and the under-developed world on the issue of climate change. He saw this as the main obstacle to resolve the climate problems.
Meanwhile populations and Mother Earth are waiting for somebody to remove the first difficult stick.
Sunday, 24 May 2009
Al Gore in Town
'The market signals are wrong', was one of the points made by the former US Vice President. His point being that market signals have effects on the future for human beings, so it is important that these signals should reflect human interests - not business interests - since 'Mother nature does not do bailouts' - indirectly referring to the financial crisis bail-outs. And he did not omit to mention John Maynard Keynes as an economic inspiration (who saw government control of private enterprise, and public intervention as necessary for growth).
One of the paradoxical one-liners heard a couple of times before was still effective:
'If you want to go quickly, go alone. If you want to go far, go together. We have to go far - quickly'. This way encouraging leaders of private companies to work in partnerships with governements around the world - to concentrate the purpose of this business summit in a nutshell. And aiming his address to political leaders: 'We know that political will is a renewable resource' - this way going full circle in his message.
Ban Ki-moon in Town
Saturday, 23 May 2009
The Full Dog Kennel Approach
His research, based on questionnaires to a representative selection of 1.700 Danes from 2008, shows that our favourite dog is the watch dog on society (75 percent), who passively keep people of state and power in check - but also that we already get this to a high extent (62 percent). When it comes to the hunting dog - the aggressive, and highly active journalist to unfold and reveal stories, and demand action from decision makers - we demand this dog to a 61 percent level, but is fed with it to a 67 percent level in the news. So maybe the aggressive hunter is on too loose a line?
When it comes to the docile shepherd dog, who includes citizens in the news mediation process (asks our opinions, arranges polls, vox pops, and to-way-communication) we get this to a 49 percent level - but would really like it to a 72 percent level. And finally the rescue dog - the ever alert St Bernard dog with the tiny whisky barrel around his neck, if you will - to scent, track and help citizens in current distress, and encourages us to show societal commitment. The poll shows that we ask this of journalists to a 60 percent level, but only receive it to a 39 percent level.
Apparently readers/viewers/users/customers/people are not getting what they really want in the news, which seems to be a combination of the full dog kennel - with a little less hunting dog, with an emphasis on the watch dog and shepherd - and a little more rescue dog than is currently the case. Me? I would take the St Bernard with a little keg of single malt any day. In or out of distress.
For further information about Peter Bro's published research, see:
http://www.sdu.dk/staff/ppe.aspx
From Information to Navigation
Instead of maintaining an old-fashioned view of the journalist, to have a responsibility towards the very abstract 'society as a whole'. The future journalist should be one to care and show responsibility for the reader = the customer. In his mind, the future would hold a shift in paradigme: From information to navigation. Erik Rasmussen held hands with future researcher Anne Skare Nielsen on this point.
This shouldn't stop the journalists from researching stories - it would instead take the best from the analytical, investigative journalism and couple it with the best of the entertaining elements in delivering the stories. I'm paradoxed here: Aren't journalists already doing all they can to do this? Provided the time and the resources.
Future News = No News
In the future, we will be so fed up with products, possibilities, options, information, news, channels, good stories, satisfier services, and gadgets - that we will be looking for peace and tranquility. So what will really be our need, won't be services, news, and information - but rather instruments for dealing with them. We will need navigation tools. To get what we really need. Apparently future news will be - no news. According to Anne Skare Nielsen tomorrow's scarce commodities will be:
Attention, peace of mind, relations, to do good, absorption, concentration, confidence, passion, originality, and people will be looking for MY story. Here's my paradoxical bewilderment: Isn't that 'future' already here - and hasn't that been the case for quite some years in our highly mediated, 2.0 society?
Conference on News Journalism
The DR chairman was one of a panel of media people to debate the purpose and future of news journalism during a conference held this week at the new concert hall of The Danish Broadcasting Corporation. And his Shakespeare opening aside, the chairman also called for the necessity of journalists to be the eyes and ears of the public - to go find, investigate, and to make the public more knowledgeable. Many cheers for standing firm on this public service basis. The paradox is why this should be necessary to repeat, but apparently it is.
Thursday, 21 May 2009
Winner of The DR Literature Prize
International Author Encounter
Auður Ólafsdóttir presented her current novel of Stikling (Cutting), referring to rose cuttings which the main character of the novel takes to Southern Europe to plant - and begins a new life. After leaving his father, his disabled twin brother, and a newborn daughter from a one-night stand. The one-night stand later seeks him out in Southern Europe with his daughter, and events take off from there - all slowly finding new meaning in life. The Icelandic word of Stikling/cutting also refers to a baby and to a detour.
Danish author Helle Helle's most current novel of Ned til Hundene (roughly translates into 'down to the dogs'). A low key novel about a woman who gets off a buss stop somewhere in provincial Denmark only carrying a suitcase on wheels. All we know is - she is looking for a good place to cry. She finds a temporary home with John and Putte who cares for her, as she slowly finds meaning in the daily routines of local life - among them caring for some local dogs.
The debate between the two Nordic Council Literature Prize nominees 2009 (announced in April go to Norwegian author Per Petterson in October) took us through many comparisons, but all-in-all the two novels focus on the ever paradoxical theme of 'the kindness of strangers'.
Poetry Framed by Music - Two
Poetry Framed by Music - One
Saturday, 16 May 2009
Salman Rushdie in Town
He was interviewed by his Danish translator, Thomas Harder, and it turned out to be an event of witty, verbal fencing. As witty as are the books and writings by Salman Rushdie in general. Some of the serious questions were rebuffed with answers like 'I hadn't really thought about that' or 'The good thing about translators is, that they think harder about your work than you do - so you can steal their ideas.'
Or on the theme of the many illusions in the historic tales of The Enchantress of Florence - he referred to the Medieval times when people couldn't get fresh bread, so they had to eat old, mouldy, stale bread. This mould gave them hallucinations - so this could be the explanation, when people saw illusions and told hallucinatory stories. If that is the paradoxical fact, Sir Salman Rushdie - please keep eating stale bread!